Sweden na kada kuri'a ranar Lahadi a wani zaben da ke da matukar kusanci. Idan jam'iyyun dama na kasar za su iya samun rinjaye, masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama za su iya shiga gwamnati a karon farko.
Binciken ra'ayin jama'a ya nuna kawancen adawa na tsakiya-hagu na gaba, inda Magdalena Andersson ta Social Democrats ke kan gaba wajen zama firaminista kuma bayan shekaru hudu a adawa. Amma jagorancin kungiyarta ya ragu sosai a kwanakin karshe na yakin neman zabe.
Duba hoto a cikakken alloMagdalena Andersson, shugabar Social Democrats. Hoto: Simon Johnson/Reuters
A shekarar 2022, firaminista na yanzu, Ulf Kristersson, shugaban Moderates na tsakiya-dama, ya karya wani haramun da ya dade yana yi ta hanyar yin yarjejeniya da Sweden Democrats (SD) masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama domin kawancen gwamnatinsa na 'yan tsiraru ya iya kafa gwamnati.
Wannan yarjejeniyar ta ba SD tasiri mai yawa kan manufofin gwamnati, musamman kan laifuka da shige da fice. Kristersson yanzu ya kara gaba, yana alkawarin ba SD mukaman ministoci idan aka dawo da shi kan mulki.
Zaben ya zo kwanaki bayan da jam'iyyar nativist ta Jamus Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) ta sami matsayi na farko a manyan zabukan jihohi, kuma yayin da Marine Le Pen ke kan gaba a kuri'un zaben shugaban kasa na shekara mai zuwa a Faransa.
Kwararru kan shari'a da 'yancin jama'a sun yi gargadin cewa irin wannan sakamakon zai iya kara lalata sunan Sweden da ta dade tana da shi a matsayin zakaran kare hakkin dan adam a duniya, wanda tuni ya ragu sosai a karkashin gwamnati mai ci.
"Abin da muka gani a cikin shekaru hudu da suka gabata babban canji ne game da manufofin laifuka da shige da fice," in ji John Stauffer, daraktan shari'a a Civil Rights Defenders.
Duba hoto a cikakken alloFiraministan Sweden, Ulf Kristersson, yana magana da 'yan jarida bayan taron jam'iyyar Moderate. Hoto: Denis Balibouse/Reuters
"Wannan kuma shine damuwa yayin ci gaba zuwa wa'adi na gaba: cewa wannan gwamnati za ta ci gaba da wata manufa bayyananna ta kara rage yawan mutanen da ke zuwa Sweden, yawan mutanen da za su iya samun kariya, da kuma cewa yawancin mutanen da suka fito daga bakin haure su bar Sweden - ko ta tilas ko da son rai."
Manifesto na SD ya hada da alkawuran gabatar da "kalaman adawa da Sweden a cikin dokoki kan tada hankali ga kabilu", soke izinin zama na dindindin da kara yanke shige da fice.
Daya daga cikin taken su shine alkawarin "maido da Sweden ta zama Sweden".
Duk da sauye-sauyen da aka yi kwanan nan - ciki har da korar matasa, rage shekarun da ake daukar alhakin laifi da tura 'yan shekaru 14 zuwa gidajen yari na manya - yawancin masu jefa kuri'a da 'yan siyasa sun ci gaba da ganin Sweden a matsayin "zakaran kare hakkin dan adam da zakaran tsarin duniya na bin doka inda hakkin dan adam ke da muhimmiyar rawa", in ji Stauffer.
"Amma a bayyane yake cewa Sweden Democrats ba su da wannan burin. Ba sa ganin Sweden a matsayin muhimmiyar mai taka rawa kan wadannan batutuwa na hakkin dan adam. Don haka za a rage mayar da hankali kan wannan kuma Sweden ba za ta taka rawa wajen bunkasa tsarin shari'a game da hakkin dan adam."
Yadda Sweden ta rasa ranta - kuma ta daina zama Sweden | Martin GelinKara karantawa
Ya kara da cewa: "Kyakkyawan zato ne cewa mummunan yanayin zai ci gaba da SD a gwamnati, ra'ayin kasashen waje game da Sweden zai ci gaba da tabarbarewa, za a kara rage ganin ta a matsayin zakaran hakkin dan adam, amma kamar kowace kasa watakila. Tsawon lokaci ana ganin Sweden a matsayin banbanci."
A kokarin dawo da masu jefa kuri'a, Social Democrats na Andersson suma sun koma dama kan laifuka, shige da fice da hadewa, wanda ke nufin cewa nasara ga hagu ba za ta iya nufin sake fasalin manufofin tsauraran da ake yi na yanzu ba, in ji Stauffer.
"Da gwamnatin da Social Democrats ke jagoranta, yawancin abubuwan da muke ganin matsala ba za a janye su ba. Amma watakila mummunan ci gaba ba zai ci gaba haka ba," in ji shi.
Da kuri'un da ke da matukar kusanci da kuma sa ran yin kuri'a da wuri da aka taba yi, aikin kananan jam'iyyu zai iya zama muhimmi.
Duba hoto a cikakken alloMai magana da yawun jam'iyyar Green, AmandaRanar Alhamis, shugaban Sweden Democrats Jimmie Åkesson da Lind sun halarci muhawarar zabe a Stockholm. Hoto: Anders Wiklund/EPA
Liberals kanana ne amma suna cikin kawancen gwamnati. Shugabansu, Simona Mohamsson, ya haifar da cece-kuce ta hanyar kusanci da shugaban Sweden Democrats, Jimmie Åkesson, a kwanakin baya-bayan nan. Liberals na iya zama mabudi ga ko dama za ta iya kafa kawance. A hagu, yawan fitowar jama'a ga jam'iyyar Centre shima na iya zama muhimmi.
A halin yanzu, jam'iyyar Left (Vänsterpartiet) ta sami dan ci gaba a kuri'un kuma tana fatan wannan yana nuna karuwa. Musamman a gundumar Stockholm, tana kama da Moderates kuma tana fatan zama jam'iyya ta biyu mafi girma.
Bo Petersson, farfesan kimiyyar siyasa a Jami'ar Malmö, ya ce Sweden Democrats tuni sun ci muhawarar shige da fice a tsakanin manyan jam'iyyun Sweden. Ya ce zabe na iya gwada ko jam'iyyar masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama har yanzu tana jan hankalin masu jefa kuri'a na Sweden. "Manyan jam'iyyun sun dauki manufofin shige da fice masu tsauri, don haka babu abin da ya rage wa Sweden Democrats su ce, 'Mu na musamman ne kuma muna wakiltar wannan,'" in ji shi. "Sun zama wani bayyananne bangare na tsarin mulki."
Fredrik Furtenbach, babban mai ba da rahoto kan siyasa na gidan rediyon jama'a na Sweden Sveriges Radio, ya ce idan jam'iyyun dama suka yi nasara, Sweden Democrats za su iya samun mukaman ministoci da dama, wanda zai zama "babban ci gaba a gare su."
Idan kawancen dama ya sha kaye, yana sa ran jam'iyyun tsakiya-dama za su tattauna bayan zabe ko sun "bar Sweden Democrats su kusanci sosai."
Manyan batutuwan da suka shafi masu jefa kuri'a sune kiwon lafiya, doka da oda, shige da fice, da tattalin arzikin Sweden.
Bayan zazzafar muhawara ta talabijin tsakanin shugabannin, wadda ta karshe ta kasance a daren Juma'a, ana sa ran sakamakon zabe a daren Lahadi. Amma kafa gwamnati na iya daukar makonni ko ma watanni na tattaunawa.
Kuri'un baya-bayan nan sun nuna gasa mai matukar kusanci. Kuri'un Dagens Nyheter/Ipsos ranar Juma'a ya nuna kashi 0.3 kawai tsakanin kungiyoyin hagu da dama, wanda zai ba bangaren hagu na Andersson kujeru 175 da bangaren dama na Kristersson kujeru 174.
Tambayoyin da ake yawan yi
Ga jerin tambayoyin da ake yawan yi game da zaben Sweden mai matukar kusanci da yuwuwar tasirin masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama
Me ya faru a zaben Sweden na baya-bayan nan
Zaben ya kasance da matukar kusanci Kungiyar jam'iyyun dama hudu sun sami rinjaye kadan a majalisa yayin da kungiyar hagu ta sha kaye da kujeru kadan kawai Jam'iyyar masu tsattsauran ra'ayi ta dama Sweden Democrats ta zama jam'iyya ta biyu mafi girma kuma yanzu za ta sami gagarumin tasiri kan gwamnati
Su wanene Sweden Democrats
Jam'iyya ce ta populist na dama mai tushe a cikin ƙungiyoyin neo-Nazi da masu kishin farar fata Suna mai da hankali kan tsauraran iyakokin shige da fice doka da oda da rage karfin Tarayyar Turai Sun yi kokarin tsaftace martabarsu a shekarun baya-bayan nan amma har yanzu suna fuskantar zarge-zargen wariyar launin fata da tsattsauran ra'ayi
Me ya sa wannan zabe yake da matukar muhimmanci
A karon farko jam'iyyar masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama za ta yi tasiri kai tsaye kan gwamnatin Sweden Sweden tana da dogon tarihi na manufofin shige da fice masu sassauci da siyasar yarjejeniya Wannan sauyi zai iya canza alkiblar kasar kan shige da fice laifuka da rawar da take takawa a EU
Me ake nufi da masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama a wannan mahallin
A Sweden masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama na nufin jam'iyyun da suka kasance masu kishin kasa masu adawa da shige da fice kuma galibi masu shakka kan al'adu da yawa Sweden Democrats sune babbar jam'iyyar masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama Ba su da tsauri kamar wasu jam'iyyun masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama na Turai amma har yanzu suna wajen al'adar gargajiya
Shin Sweden Democrats sun ci zaben
A'a Sun zo matsayi na biyu Amma saboda kungiyar dama ta sami rinjaye Sweden Democrats yanzu suna rike da ma'aunin iko Ba za su kasance cikin majalisar ministoci ba amma za su goyi bayan gwamnati a majalisa kuma su tura manufofinsu
Me Sweden Democrats suke so
Suna son rage shige da fice sosai korar masu laifi da yawa da suka fito daga kasashen waje rage taimakon kasashen waje da mayar da karin iko ga Sweden daga EU Suna kuma son tsauraran hukunci kan laifuka da karin kudade ga 'yan sanda
Me ya sa mutane suka zabi masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama
Yawancin masu jefa kuri'a sun damu da shige da fice tashin hankalin ƙungiyoyi da tsadar rayuwa Sweden Democrats sun mai da hankali kan wadannan batutuwa tsawon shekaru Wasu masu jefa kuri'a suna jin cewa manyan jam'iyyun sun yi watsi da damuwarsu Wasu kuma suna fushi da tsadar makamashi da hauhawar farashin kaya
Wadanne matsaloli wannan zai iya haifarwa
Zai iya sa siyasar Sweden ta zama marar kwanciyar hankali Sweden Democrats ba sa cikin gwamnati amma suna iya yin barazanar rushe ta idan ba su sami abin da suke so ba Zai iya
