Jam’iyyar AfD mai ra’ayin dama ana sa ran za ta yi nasara da gagarumin rinjaye a babban zaɓen jiha a Jamus.

Jam’iyyar AfD mai ra’ayin dama ana sa ran za ta yi nasara da gagarumin rinjaye a babban zaɓen jiha a Jamus.

An ƙaddara a buɗe wuraren jefa ƙuri'a a jihar Saxony-Anhalt da ke gabashin Jamus, inda ake sa ran jam'iyyar AfD mai ra'ayin dama mai tsattsauran ra'ayi kuma mai adawa da shige da fice za ta zo kan gaba a zaɓen da zai iya yin tasiri sosai kan yanayin siyasar Jamus.

Kimanin mutane miliyan 1.7 ne suka cancanci jefa ƙuri'a. An buɗe wuraren jefa ƙuri'a da ƙarfe 8 na safe agogon gida, kuma za su rufe da ƙarfe 6 na yamma, inda ake sa ran sakamakon farko na zaɓen zai nuna ko AfD ta samu isassun ƙuri'u don samun cikakken rinjaye da kuma jagorantar jihar ita kaɗai.

Idan hakan ta faru, zai zama karo na farko da jam'iyyar za ta jagoranci gwamnatin jiha, kuma karo na farko tun bayan Yaƙin Duniya na Biyu da wata jam'iyya mai tsattsauran ra'ayi ta dama ta riƙe mulki a matakin yanki ko na majalisa a Jamus.

Ƙarshen kuri'un jin ra'ayin jama'a kafin zaɓen ya nuna AfD na da goyon baya kusan kashi 40-41%. Bisa ga binciken jin ra'ayi, adadin masu jefa ƙuri'a da ba su yanke shawara ba a wannan karon ya yi ƙasa da na zaɓukan da suka gabata.

A halin yanzu, wannan ƙaramar jihar ce ke ƙarƙashin jagorancin jam'iyyar CDU mai ra'ayin mazan jiya ta Shugaba Friedrich Merz, tare da wasu ƙananan jam'iyyu biyu. CDU, wadda ke da goyon baya kusan kashi 23%, ita ce ke jagorantar jihar a ƙarƙashin Sven Schulze, kuma tana fatan kafa haɗin gwiwar jam'iyyu da yawa don ci gaba da riƙe mulki.

CDU da sauran manyan jam'iyyun sun ƙi kafa gwamnatin haɗin gwiwa da AfD, matakin da aka fi sani da "Brandmauer" ko katangar wuta. A Saxony-Anhalt, hukumar leƙen asirin cikin gida ta Jamus ta ayyana AfD a matsayin "masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama".

Babban ɗan takarar AfD shi ne Ulrich Siegmund, mai shekaru 35, tsohon mai siyar da turare wanda ke da mabiya da yawa a TikTok kuma ana ɗaukarsa kamar tauraron mawaƙa. Ya ce zai karɓi mulki ne kawai idan jam'iyyar ta sami cikakken rinjaye, kuma ba zai amince da haɗin gwiwa da kowace jam'iyya ba.

Zaɓen Saxony-Anhalt shi ne babban gwaji ga Merz, wanda ba shi da farin jini tare da gwamnatinsa. Ya kasa cika alkawurran da ya yi na farfado da tattalin arzikin Jamus da ke fama da matsaloli da kuma rage goyon bayan AfD. Shige da fice na doka ya ragu tun da ya karɓi mulki, amma bai isa ya gamsar da matsakaicin mai jefa ƙuri'a ba.

Idan AfD ta yi nasara mai gamsarwa, zai matsa wa Merz lamba sosai. A kuri'un jin ra'ayin jama'a na ƙasa, CDU ma ta sha kaye a hannun AfD, wadda ke da burin cin zaɓen tarayya na gaba a shekarar 2029.

Idan AfD ta ci zaɓen Saxony-Anhalt, Siegmund ya yi alkawarin ƙaddamar da yaƙin neman "mayar da mutane gida" da kuma korar baƙi, da hana ɗaga tutar bakan gizo a makarantu, da kuma dakatar da gina sabbin injinan iska.

Yana son canza taken jihar daga "Ka yi tunani na zamani" zuwa "Ka yi tunani na Jamus" da kuma dawo da rera taken ƙasa a makarantu.

Siegmund ya yi ƙoƙari ya yi amfani da "ostalgie" – son tunawa da zamanin gurguzu na Gabashin Jamus – da kuma jan hankalin rashin jin daɗin mutanen gabashin Jamus waɗanda ke jin cewa su ƴan ƙasa na biyu ne idan aka kwatanta da na yamma.

Ya isa wurin jefa ƙuri'a da safe ranar Lahadi tare da matarsa, a kan babur na zamanin Gabashin Jamus mai launukan jam'iyyar, wanda kuma ya kasance babban kayan aiki a yaƙin neman zaɓe a fadin jihar. Da yake magana a gaban wurin jefa ƙuri'a, ya nuna kyakkyawan fata cewa jam'iyyar za ta samu "kashi 45%, da ma fiye da haka."

Dubban masu adawa da AfD sun taru a babban birnin jihar, Magdeburg, ranar Asabar don "bikin dimokuradiyya."

Da yammacin ranar Asabar, an nuna wani saƙo a fuskar Cathedral na Magdeburg wanda ke cewa: "Ba mu watsar da abin da muke ƙauna ba. Ƙaunar ƙasa ta gaskiya ba ita ce AfD ba."

Bishop na Magdeburg, Gerhard Feige, ya gargaɗi taron masu ibada game da ƙungiyoyin "waɗanda ke son shuka rashin jituwa, da tada rashin amana da tsoro." Ya kwatanta da abubuwan da suka faru a tarihi, yana gargaɗin cewa dimokuradiyya na iya lalata kanta. "Ba duk wanda ya jefa ƙuri'a ko aka zaɓa ta hanyar dimokuradiyya ba ne ɗan dimokuradiyya," in ji shi.

Cibiyar Tattalin Arzikin Jamus ta yi gargaɗi game da mummunan sakamako ga tattalin arzikin Jamus, duka a Saxony-Anhalt da ma bayanta, musamman game da shige da fice. Jam'iyyar ta bayyana manufar rabon al'umma a matsayin "balala'i" ga jihar, wadda ke da al'ummar da ke tsufa da raguwa kuma ta dogara sosai ga ma'aikata na ƙasashen waje. Masu suka kuma sun nuna damuwa cewa, ganin yadda jam'iyyar ke goyon bayan Rasha, gwamnatin da AfD ke jagoranta za ta iya ba wa Rasha muhimman bayanai. AfD ta musanta waɗannan zarge-zargen kuma ta ce za ta yi aiki don sake fasalin hukumar leƙen asirin cikin gida, tana mai cewa tana nuna son kai.

Bisa ga ƙarshen kuri'un jin ra'ayin jama'a na gidan talabijin na ZDF ranar Alhamis, AfD tana kan gaba da kashi 41% na goyon baya, yayin da CDU ke baya da kashi 23%, Die Linke mai ra'ayin gurguzu da kashi 11.5%, Social Democrats da kashi 8.5%, da Greens da kashi 6%. Ƙananan jam'iyyu biyu ba su kai ga kashi 5% da ake buƙata don sake shiga majalisa ba.

Masu sa ido kan zaɓe masu zaman kansu suna nan a wuraren jefa ƙuri'a yayin da AfD ke zargin magudin zaɓe, musamman a zaɓen ta hanyar wasiƙa, tare da kulawa ta musamman ga gidan jinya. Hukumomin jihar sun musanta waɗannan zarge-zargen.