Makomar tattaunawar zaman lafiya ta Gabas ta Tsakiya ta shiga cikin shakku bayan da ma'aikatar harkokin wajen Iran ta ce tana bukatar "sake tantance" shigarta, yayin da Donald Trump ya yi gargadin cewa Iran za ta "biya kudin." Wannan ya biyo bayan musayar wuta tsakanin kasashen biyu a cikin dare, wanda ya jawo kasashe makwabta zuwa cikin yakin da ke tashi da kuma tsayawa wanda ya mamaye yankin tun daga karshen watan Fabrairu.
Amurka ta kai hare-hare kan Iran a safiyar Laraba, a matsayin ramuwar gayya ga abin da ta ce Iran ta harbo wani jirgin sama na sojan Amurka a kusa da mashigin Hormuz. Iran ta mayar da martani da guguwar hare-hare ta sama, tana mai ikirarin cewa ta kai hari kan sansanonin Amurka a Kuwait, Bahrain, da Jordan.
Wadannan hare-haren na kai-da-kawa sune mafi munin tashin hankali tun bayan da aka cimma yarjejeniyar tsagaita wuta a farkon watan Afrilu. Tattaunawar da za ta mayar da wannan tsagaita wuta zuwa zaman lafiya mai dorewa ta dade tana cikin tsayayya, tare da tashin hankali na lokaci-lokaci yayin da bangarorin biyu ke kai hare-hare masu iyaka kuma suke zargin juna da karya yarjejeniyar.
Esmail Baqaei, mai magana da yawun ma'aikatar harkokin wajen Iran, ya ce hare-haren Amurka suna jefa tattaunawar tsagaita wuta mai gudana cikin hadari. Ya zargi Amurka da lalata diflomasiyya ta hanyar hare-harenta da sakwanninta masu cakuduwa, kuma ya ce Isra'ila ma tana cutar da tsarin zaman lafiya ta hanyar ci gaba da keta yarjejeniyar tsagaita wuta a Lebanon.
"Bayan abubuwan da suka faru a daren jiya, muna bukatar sake tantancewa... Duk wani tsari na diflomasiyya yana bukatar akalla kwanciyar hankali," in ji Baqaei.
Trump, a nasa bangaren, ya ce Iran ta dauki "lokaci mai tsawo don yin shawarwarin yarjejeniyar da za ta yi musu kyau" kuma yanzu za ta fuskanci sakamako.
A wani rubutu a Truth Social, shugaban Amurka ya rubuta: "Sojojin Iran gaba daya sun lalace. Yawancinsu, kamar Sojojin ruwansu da Sojojin samansu, ba su wanzu ba - An ci su gaba daya. Iran magana ce kawai ba aiki ba. Mai cin zarafi na Gabas ta Tsakiya ya MUTU!!!"
Trump ya sha yin barazanar sake fara aikin soji tun bayan da aka kafa yarjejeniyar tsagaita wuta a watan Afrilu, amma bai cika aikatawa ba har yanzu.
Hare-haren tun bayan tsagaita wuta sun kasance masu iyaka kuma an gabatar da su a matsayin hare-hare na lokaci guda da aka yi lissafi, yayin da bangarorin biyu ke kokarin samun karfi a teburin tattaunawa.
Sojojin Amurka sun bayyana hare-haren nasu na dare a matsayin "amsa daidai" ga harbo jirgin, wanda ma'aikatan jirgin biyu aka ceto. Amurka ta ce ta buga tsaron sararin samaniyar Iran, tashoshin kula da kasa, da wuraren radar. Iran ta ce an kai hari kan tsibirin Qeshm da birnin tashar jiragen ruwa na Sirik, yayin da kafafen yada labaran Iran suka ruwaito fashe-fashe a birnin bakin teku na Bandar Abbas.
"Na yi imani amsar ya kamata ta yi karfi sosai, mai karfi sosai, kuma wannan ita ce," in ji Trump ga ABC News.
Rundunar Tsaron Juyin Juya Halin Musulunci ta Iran (IRGC) ta mayar da martani ta hanyar kai hari kan sansanonin Amurka a Bahrain, Kuwait, da Jordan da makamai masu linzami, kuma ta ce a shirye take ta ba da amsa "mai murkushewa kuma mai yanke hukunci" idan Amurka ta sake kai hari.
Sojojin Amurka sun ce kusan dukkan makamai masu linzami da jirage marasa matuki na Iran an kama su, ba tare da wani rahoto nan take na asarar Amurka ko lalacewar wuraren ta ba. Jordan, Kuwait, da Bahrain duk sun ce an kama makaman na Iran.
Sa'o'i kadan kafin hare-haren Amurka, kakakin majalisar Iran, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, ya saka a X: "Mun fi son harshen diflomasiyya, amma muna magana da wasu harsuna da kyau sosai. Ku karya alkawurranku, kuma za mu koma abin da muka fi iya magana."
Duk da hare-haren da kuma maganganun da ke kara tashin hankali, wani jami'in Amurka ya nuna cewa yarjejeniya da Iran na iya kasancewa kusa.
"Babu wani abu da ya canza inda yarjejeniyar take a yanzu," in ji wani babban jami'in Fadar White House da ba a bayyana sunansa ba ga Politico. "Akwai guga na soja sannan kuma akwai guga na tattaunawa... Don haka, abubuwa biyu na iya faruwa a lokaci guda."
Trump yana sha'awar yarjejeniyar zaman lafiya yayin da zaben tsakiyar wa'adin Amurka ke gabatowa, tare da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da raguwar kimar amincewar shugaban kasa. Amma duk da cewa shugaban Amurka yakan yi ikirarin cewa yarjejeniya da Iran ta kusa, halin da ake ciki yana cikin tashin hankali.
Duk da zagaye da yawa na tattaunawar shiga tsakani, manyan bambance-bambance har yanzu suna tsakanin bangarorin biyu. Iran tana son a dage takunkumin kasa da kasa, a kwance kadarori na biliyoyin daloli, da kuma iko a kan mashigin Hormuz. Trump ya bayyana cewa duk wata yarjejeniyar zaman lafiya ta gaba dole ne ta hana Iran kera makamin nukiliya, kodayake Iran ta musanta son yin hakan.
Samun damar shiga mashigin Hormuz - wata hanya mai mahimmanci ga kusan kashi biyar na samar da man duniya - har yanzu Iran ta takaita, yayin da Amurka ke ci gaba da killace tashoshin jiragen ruwa na Iran. Wannan rushewar jigilar kayayyaki da samar da makamashi a duniya ya haifar da tasiri a duk duniya, yana kara hauhawar farashin abinci, makamashi, da sauran kayayyaki.
Babban cikas ga yarjejeniyar zaman lafiya mai dorewa tsakanin Iran da Amurka shi ne fada tsakanin Hezbollah da Isra'ila a Lebanon. Iran ta dage cewa duk wata yarjejeniyar tsagaita wuta dole ne ta hada da fagen Lebanon, yayin da Isra'ila da Amurka ke son ware batutuwan biyu.
A ranar Lahadi, Iran da Isra'ila sun yi musayar hare-hare a karon farko tun bayan tsagaita wuta na Afrilu, bayan da Isra'ila ta kai hari a yankunan kudancin Beirut. Iran ta yi barazanar sake kai wa Isra'ila hari idan ta kai hari a babban birnin Lebanon. Isra'ila tana kai hare-hare da dama a kudancin Lebanon kowace rana, yayin da Hezbollah ke harba kan sojojin Isra'ila a yankin.
Tun bayan fara rikicin na baya-bayan nan, hare-haren Isra'ila sun kashe mutane sama da 3,666 a Lebanon, yayin da hare-haren Hezbollah suka kashe akalla sojojin Isra'ila 30 da fararen hula uku na Isra'ila.
**Tambayoyin da Aka Yi Yawa**
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyin da ake yawan yi game da tasirin hare-haren dare na baya-bayan nan kan tattaunawar zaman lafiya ta Gabas ta Tsakiya, wanda ya shafi damuwa daga matakin farko zuwa na ci gaba.
**Tambayoyin Matakin Farko**
**Tambaya:** Menene ya faru a daren jiya wanda ya sanya tattaunawar zaman lafiya ta zama marar tabbas?
**Amsa:** An kai hare-haren soji da dama kan wurare a Iran. Wannan ya kara tashin hankali sosai.
**Tambaya:** Me yasa Iran ke bukatar sake tantance tattaunawar zaman lafiya?
**Amsa:** Domin hare-haren sun canza yanayin tsaro. Iran tana jin ba za ta iya yin shawarwari a karkashin barazanar kai hari ba, don haka tana bukatar sake yin la'akari da dabarunta da bukatunta.
**Tambaya:** Shin tattaunawar zaman lafiya ta riga ta kusa kaiwa ga yarjejeniya kafin wadannan hare-haren?
**Amsa:** A'a. Tattaunawar ta riga ta tsaya kan manyan batutuwa kamar iyakoki, tsaro, da matsayin Kudus. Hare-haren sun kara wahalar da ci gaba.
**Tambaya:** Shin wannan yana nufin yaki zai faru tabbas?
**Amsa:** Ba lallai ba ne, amma hadarin fadada rikici ya karu. Hare-haren sun sa diflomasiyya ta yi wuya sosai kuma suna kara yiwuwar daukar fansa.
**Tambaya:** Wanene ke cikin wadannan tattaunawar zaman lafiya?
**Amsa:** Manyan bangarorin su ne Isra'ila, Falasdinawa, da kuma wasu kasashen Larabawa a wasu lokuta. Iran ba ta shiga cikin tattaunawar Isra'ila da Falasdinawa kai tsaye ba, amma tana tasiri sosai kan halin da ake ciki.
**Tambayoyin Matakin Tsakiyar**
**Tambaya:** Ta yaya sake tantancewar Iran ke shafar sauran bangarorin a tattaunawar?
**Amsa:** Yana daskare tsarin. Amurka da Isra'ila sun so su matsa wa Iran don yin sulhu. Yanzu Iran na iya neman karin tabbacin tsaro kafin ta koma teburin, wanda sauran bangarorin ba za su amince da su ba.
**Tambaya:** Menene hare-haren dare suka kai musamman?
**Amsa:** Rahotanni sun nuna hare-hare kan wuraren soji na Iran, mai yiwuwa masu alaka da samar da jirage marasa matuki ko makamai masu linzami ko kuma tsarin tsaron sararin samaniya. Wannan yana nufin rage karfin Iran na kai wa Isra'ila hari.
**Tambaya:** Shin sake tantancewar Iran zai iya kai ta ga barin tattaunawar gaba daya?
**Amsa:** E, wannan yiwuwa ce ta gaske. Idan Iran ta ji tsaronta yana cikin hadari sosai, tana iya yanke shawarar cewa yin shawarwari ba shi da ma'ana kuma ta mayar da hankali kan karfafa sojojinta ko tallafawa wakilai kamar Hezbollah.
**Tambaya:** Ta yaya wannan ke shafar yarjejeniyar daidaita al'umma tsakanin Isra'ila da kasashen Larabawa?
