Babban Bankin Turai ya ɗaga kuɗin ruwa zuwa kashi 2.5% kuma ya yi gargaɗi cewa haɗarin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a cikin shekara mai zuwa ya ƙaru bayan sake barkewar faɗa a Gabas ta Tsakiya. Matakin ya zo ne yayin da kuɗin ruwa na takardun bashin gwamnati ya yi tsalle bayan hauhawar farashin mai da iskar gas cikin dare, wanda sabbin hare-haren Amurka da Iran kan jiragen ruwa a mashigar Hormuz suka jawo. Bashin gwamnatin Biritaniya ya haura zuwa matsayi mafi girma cikin shekaru 19 ranar Alhamis, kuma kuɗin rance na Turai ya yi tsalle yayin da mai ya haura sama da dala 105 (£78) kan ganga kuma farashin iskar gas ma ya yi tsalle.
Masu zuba jari sun yi tsammanin ECB za ta ɗaga kuɗin rance a duk yankin Euro, amma sun firgita da sautin tsaurin bankin tsakiya, wanda ya yi gargaɗi game da hauhawar matsin farashin kayayyaki a sassa da yawa na tattalin arziki. Da yake ɗaga kuɗin ruwa daga kashi 2.25%, bankin tsakiya ya ƙara hasashensa na ci gaban tattalin arzikin yankin Euro a 2026 zuwa kashi 0.9%, daga kashi 0.8% a watan Yuni, kuma yanzu yana tsammanin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki zai kai matsakaicin kashi 3% a wannan shekara.
Shugabar ECB Christine Lagarde ta ce: "Ana sa ran babban hauhawar farashin kayayyaki zai koma kusan maƙasudin da aka sa gaba a ƙarshen 2027, tare da goyon bayan tasirin ƙarin kuɗin ruwa. Za mu ci gaba da sa ido sosai kan girman da dorewar hauhawar farashin makamashi da yadda yake shiga cikin tsarin farashi da albashi, tsammanin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da kuma yanayin tattalin arziki gaba ɗaya."
David Rees, shugaban tattalin arzikin duniya a Schroders, ya ce: "An yi tsammanin ƙarin kuɗin ruwan na yau, amma hangen nesa daga nan ba shi da tabbas sosai. Ƙarin farashin makamashi zai ci gaba da riƙe babban hauhawar farashin kayayyaki." Ya ce ma'aunin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na asali, wanda ke cire abubuwa masu canzawa kamar farashin makamashi da abinci, ya kasance "mai kyau har yanzu." Rees ya ƙara da cewa tattalin arzikin yana da rauni kuma ƙarin kuɗin rance zai iya rage ci gaba.
Babban abin da ke jawo hauhawar farashin kayayyaki shi ne farashin makamashi, wanda ya sake yin tsalle ranar Alhamis bayan ƙaruwar hare-haren Amurka da Iran kan jiragen ruwa da ke wucewa ta Tekun Fasha a wannan makon. Man Brent ya wuce dala 105 kan ganga, wanda ya haura fiye da kashi 4% daga ranar da ta gabata. Farashin iskar gas na Biritaniya ya haura sama da 205p kan therm, mafi girma tun Disamba 2022. Farashin iskar gas na nahiyar Turai ma ya haura. Farashin iskar gas na jigilar kaya na Holland – ma'aunin EU – ya wuce €80 kan megawatt hour (MWh) a karon farko tun Janairu 2023. Kwangilar wata na gaba tana ciniki da kashi 3.4% sama a €82.56/MWh.
Wannan kuma ya ƙara rura wutar hauhawar kuɗin rance na gwamnati a manyan ƙasashe. Kuɗin ruwa kan takardun bashin gwamnatin Biritaniya na shekaru 10, wanda kuma ake kira gilts, ya kai kashi 5.295%, mafi girma tun Agusta 2007. Kuɗin ruwa, ko riba, kan takardun bashin gwamnatin Jamus na shekaru 30 ya haura maki 2.5 zuwa kashi 5.08%, mafi girma tun Disamba 2003. Riba ta shekaru 10 ta kai kashi 3.45%, mafi girma tun Afrilu 2011. Riba ta takardun bashin gwamnatin Faransa na shekaru 10 ita ce mafi girma tun Oktoba 2008 a kashi 4.344%, wanda ya haura maki 1.
Bankunan tsakiya suna damuwa cewa farashin man fetur da makamashi mai yawa zai shiga cikin ƙarin kuɗin sufuri da ƙarin tsadar dumama ga gine-ginen kasuwanci da na zama, wanda zai haifar da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki mai yaduwa. Masu zuba jari suna damuwa cewa gwamnatocin Biritaniya da EU sun rage girman haɗarin ƙarewar iskar gas da mummunan tasirin da gaggawar neman kayayyaki zai haifar kan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki. Bayanan kwanan nan sun nuna cewa ajiyar iskar gas ta EU cika kashi 67% kawai, wanda ya yi ƙasa da matsakaicin shekaru biyar na kashi 84%. Manazarta a ING sun ce: "Wannan yana barin kasuwa cikin haɗari yayin da muke matsowa kusa da lokacin dumama mai zuwa."
Masu siyan iskar gas na Biritaniya da nahiyar Turai sun jinkirta cika ajiyar iskar gas da tsammanin rikicin Gabas ta Tsakiya zai warware kuma farashin zai yi ƙasa kafin hunturu a arewacin duniya. Yayin da yaƙin ke ci gaba, akwai yiwuwar farashin iskar gas zai haura saboda gaggawar masu siya da ke neman sake cika ajiya a cikin watannin da suka rage kafin yanayin sanyi ya zo. Kasuwannin takardun bashi ma sun kasance cikin faɗakarwa daga sakataren baitulmalin Amurka, Scott Bessent ya ce Amurka za ta sake siyan dala biliyan 6 na bashin gwamnati, wanda aka sani da treasuries na Amurka, don sauƙaƙa sayar da takardun bashi na Amurka wanda ya ƙara kuɗin ruwa. Amma masu siyan takardun bashi sun ɗauki kunshin da ƙanƙanta, kuma riba kan treasuries na shekaru 10 ta haura zuwa matsayi mafi girma cikin shekaru uku.
Tambayoyin da ake yawan yi
FAQs ECB ta Ɗaga Kuɗin Ruwa zuwa 25 Yayin Gargaɗin Hauhawa a Yaƙin Iran
Tambayoyin Farko
1 Menene ya faru da ECB
Babban Bankin Turai ya ɗaga babban kuɗin ruwansa zuwa 25 Wannan shi ne kuɗin da ke shafar kuɗin rance a duk yankin Euro
2 Menene kuɗin ruwa a sauƙaƙe
Kuɗin rance ne Lokacin da kuɗin ruwa ya haura, rance da jinginar gida suna yin tsada amma asusun ajiya yawanci suna biya ƙari
3 Me ya sa ECB ta ɗaga kuɗin ruwa
Don yaƙi da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki – hauhawar farashin kaya da ayyuka Ƙarin kuɗin ruwa yana sa rance ya fi tsada wanda ke sanyaya kashe kuɗi kuma yana taimakawa rage hauhawar farashi
4 Menene alaƙar yaƙin Iran da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a Turai
Rikicin na iya kawo cikas ga samar da mai da hanyoyin jigilar kaya wanda ke ƙara farashin makamashi da sufuri Ƙarin farashin makamashi sai ya bazu cikin tattalin arziki yana jawo hauhawar farashin kayayyaki gaba ɗaya
5 Yaya wannan ke shafar kasafin ku na wata
Idan kana da rance ko jinginar gida mai canzawa, biyan ku na iya ƙaruwa Idan kana da ajiya za ka iya samun ƙarin riba Farashin yau da kullum na iya kasancewa mai girma na ɗan lokaci
6 Wannan yana nufin farashi zai fara sauka
Ba nan take ba Manufar ita ce a rage saurin hauhawar farashi ba lallai ne a mayar da farashi zuwa tsohon matsayinsa ba
7 Menene yankin Euro
Ƙungiyar ƙasashen Tarayyar Turai da ke amfani da Euro a matsayin kuɗinsu – a halin yanzu ƙasashe 20
Tambayoyin Matsakaici
8 Yaya ƙara kuɗin ruwa ke rage hauhawar farashin kayayyaki
Ƙarin kuɗin ruwa yana sa rance ya fi tsada don haka mutane da kasuwanci ba sa rance da kashe kuɗi da yawa Ƙarancin buƙata yana rage matsin lamba kan farashi Hakanan yana ƙarfafa Euro wanda ke sa shigo da kaya ya yi arha
9 Menene bambanci tsakanin babban kuɗin ruwan ECB da kuɗin ruwan bankina
Kuɗin ruwan ECB yana saita tushe na rance tsakanin bankuna Bankinka yana ƙara nasa ribar don haka kuɗin jinginar gida ko rance naka koyaushe ya fi na ECB girma
10 Me ya sa ECB ke damuwa da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da mai ke jawo
Kuɗin makamashi yana shiga kusan komai – abinci, jigilar kaya, masana'anta, dumama Lokacin da mai ya yi tsada hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na iya bazuwa da sauri kuma ya zama mai dorewa ma'ana yana ɗaukar lokaci mai tsawo
11 Shin ECB na iya sarrafa farashin mai
A'a Tana iya mayar da martani kawai gare su Ƙara kuɗin ruwa yana rage buƙata gaba ɗaya wanda a kaikaice ke sauƙaƙa wasu matsin farashi
