Wani sabon guguwar hare-hare tsakanin Iran da Amurka ya ci gaba, yana kara raunana yarjejeniyar zaman lafiya mai rauni tsakanin kasashen biyu. Wannan ya sa Donald Trump yayi barazanar tashin hankalin da zai tabbatar da cewa Iran "ba za ta sake wanzuwa ba."
A ranar Lahadi, Tehran ta kaddamar da hare-haren jirage marasa matuki da makamai masu linzami a kan Bahrain da Kuwait, bayan sabbin hare-haren Amurka a wurare a kudancin Iran. Iran ta kuma yi barazanar "dakatar da tattaunawar" gaba daya da nufin kawo karshen yakin. Trump ya ce wani lokaci na iya zuwa nan ba da jimawa ba inda zai bar tattaunawar, kuma Amurka za ta "kammala aikin ta hanyar soja."
Shugaban Amurka ya wallafa a shafin sada zumunta: "Idan hakan ta faru, Jamhuriyar Musulunci ta Iran ba za ta sake wanzuwa ba!"
Kuwait, wacce ke dauke da babban sansanin sojan Amurka, ta ce ta kama makamai masu linzami guda biyu kuma ba ta bayar da rahoton wani rauni ko lalacewa ba. A halin yanzu, ma'aikatar cikin gida ta Bahrain ta ce hare-haren Iran sun lalata wani ginin zama kusa da filin jirgin sama na kasa da kasa, amma ba a kashe kowa ba.
Tashin hankalin na baya-bayan nan ya samo asali ne daga kokarin bude mashigin Hormuz ga dukkan jiragen ruwa ba tare da kulawar Iran kai tsaye ba. Wannan mashigin ruwa mai mahimmanci, wanda ke dauke da kashi biyar na man fetur da iskar gas na duniya kafin yakin, an dade ana daukarsa a matsayin hanyar wucewa ta kasa da kasa.
Rundunar Amurka ta Tsakiya ta ce a cikin wata sanarwa cewa hare-haren nata "sun kasance a matsayin martani kai tsaye ga ci gaba da ta'addancin Iran kan jigilar kayayyaki na kasuwanci" kuma sun kai hari kan wuraren sa ido na soja, sadarwa, kariyar sama, ajiyar jirage marasa matuki, da wuraren sanya nakiyoyi na Iran.
Washington tana tallata hanyar jigilar kayayyaki ta kudu tare da gabar tekun Oman, yayin da Tehran - wacce ke da burin karbar kudade don amfani da mashigin - tana son jiragen ruwa su yi amfani da hanyar arewa ta cikin ruwayenta da kuma karkashin ikonta.
Daruruwan jiragen ruwa, ciki har da tankokin mai, sun kasance a cikin shingen cikin Gulf tun lokacin da mashigin ya rufe lokacin da yakin ya barke. A cikin makonni biyu da suka gabata, wasu jiragen ruwa sun yi kasadar wucewa, wanda ya sa farashin mai ya ragu kusa da matakin kafin yakin kuma ya kawo sauki ga tattalin arzikin kasashen duniya.
Sojojin Amurka sun zargi Iran da karya yarjejeniyar tsagaita wuta a ranar Asabar ta hanyar kai hari kan jirgin ruwan Panama mai suna Kiku, wanda ke dauke da danyen mai na kamfanin makamashi na Qatar. Bisa ga shafukan yanar gizo na bin diddigin jiragen ruwa, Kiku ya yi kokarin amfani da hanyar kudu kusa da gabar tekun Oman. Wani jirgin ruwan kwantena na Singapore ya samu hari daga wani jirgin mara matuki na Iran yayin da yake tafiya a kan wannan hanya a makon da ya gabata.
Ministan harkokin wajen Iran, Abbas Araghchi, ya sake jaddada ikirarin Tehran na mallakar mashigin ruwan ne kawai a yayin ziyarar aiki a Iraki a ranar Lahadi. Ya ce a Baghdad: "Duk wani tsoma baki a cikin wannan lamari, duk wani yunkuri na kafa sabbin tsare-tsare ko daban daga wadanda ake aiwatarwa a halin yanzu ta Jamhuriyar Musulunci ta Iran, zai haifar da karin rikice-rikice, jinkirta bude mashigin Hormuz, da kuma kara matakin tashin hankali."
Masu lura da al'amura sun ce Iran na amfani da ikonta na yin barazana ga jigilar kayayyaki a mashigin ba kawai a matsayin wani abin amfani a tattaunawar da Amurka ba, har ma don tsoratar da kasashe makwabta da kuma kafa rawar da ta fi girma a yankin.
Araghchi ya kuma yi kira ga wani tsarin tsaro tare da kasashen Gulf wanda zai ware Amurka. Ya ce: "Ya kamata mu kai ga wani sabon tsari wanda ya hada da dukkan kasashen yankin kuma ba tare da kasancewar ko tsoma bakin wata kasa daga wajen yankin ba."
Masu shiga tsakani daga Qatar da Pakistan sun sami nasarar hada wakilai daga Washington da Tehran a Switzerland a farkon wannan watan, amma ba su iya cike gibin da ke tsakanin su kan batutuwan da ake takaddama a kai kamar makomar mashigin Hormuz, sassauta takunkumi ga Tehran, da makomar shirin nukiliyar Iran. A karkashin yarjejeniyar fahimtar da aka sanya hannu a farkon wannan watan, kasashen biyu suna da kwanaki 60 don kammala cikakkun bayanai kafin su sanya hannu kan yarjejeniyar karshe.
Shugabanni a Tehran da Washington suna fuskantar matsin lamba na siyasa na cikin gida don gujewa komawa cikin rikici kuma suna da alama sun jajirce kan tsagaita wuta a yanzu, duk da yawan kalaman tashin hankali.
Rundunar Tsaron Juyin Juya Halin Musulunci (IRGC) ta dauki alhakin sabbin hare-haren biyu a ranar Lahadi. Ta bayyana: "Bari makiya su sani cewa keta yarjejeniyar tsagaita wuta ... zai haifar da dakatar da ayyukan da ake gudana gaba daya."
Tankokin mai da ke tafiya a gabar tekun Kuwait a ranar Asabar. Hoton: Yasser Al-Zayyat/AFP/Getty Images
IRGC, wacce ke kula da makaman ballistic na Iran, ta sami karfin tasiri a Iran a cikin 'yan watannin nan. Rundunar sojojin ruwa ta ce sansanonin Amurka a yankin za su "fuskanci wuta a cikin 'yan kwanaki masu zuwa."
Ma'aikatar harkokin wajen Bahrain ta yi Allah wadai da hare-haren, tana kiran su "wani tashin hankali mai hadari wanda ya nuna cewa abin da Tehran ke yi ba wani abu ne na wucewa ba, ko kuma wani lamari ne na kebantacce, sai dai wata hanya ce ta ganganci da kuma tsari na yau da kullun na ta'addanci kan ikon masarautar, da kuma tsaron 'yan kasarta da mazaunanta."
Bahrain tana dauke da Rundunar Sojojin Ruwa ta 5 ta Amurka, wacce sansaninta a can ya sha kai hari akai-akai a lokacin yakin.
Yakin inuwa: yadda amfani da dakarun wakilai daga Iran, Isra'ila da Amurka ke haifar da rashin kwanciyar hankali a Gabas ta Tsakiya
Kara karantawa
Tashin hankali ya kuma ci gaba a Lebanon, yana kara yin barazana ga yarjejeniyar tsakanin Iran da Amurka don kawo karshen rikicin nasu.
Wani motar sojan Isra'ila da ke tafiya ta wuce gine-ginen da suka lalace a kudancin Lebanon a ranar Lahadi. Hoton: Ohad Zwigenberg/AP
Jami'an sojan Isra'ila sun ce an kashe wani soja a ranar Lahadi lokacin da sojoji suka ci karo da "wani dan ta'addar Hezbollah bayan sun shiga wani gini mai shakku a yankin Deir Seryan a kudancin Lebanon."
Kamfanin dillancin labarai na Lebanon ya ba da rahoton wani sabon harin Isra'ila da ya kai kan kauyukan Deir Seryan da Taybeh a kudancin Lebanon.
Wadannan sabbin fadace-fadace a Lebanon sun zo ne kwanaki biyu bayan Isra'ila da Lebanon suka sanya hannu kan wata yarjejeniya da nufin kawo karshen tashin hankali. Yarjejeniyar ta bukaci sojojin Isra'ila su fara janyewa daga kudancin kasar kuma a maye gurbinsu da sojojin Lebanon, wadanda za su karbi tsaron gida da kuma wargaza kayan aikin soja na Hezbollah.
Za su kuma kara lalata duk wani fatan samun yarjejeniyar zaman lafiya mai dorewa tsakanin Iran da Amurka, wacce Tehran ta dage cewa ta dogara ne da tsagaita wuta a Lebanon.
Isra'ila, wacce ba ta cikin yarjejeniyar Amurka da Iran ba, ta mamaye kudancin Lebanon a watan Maris a wani sabon hari kan Hezbollah, wacce Iran ke goyon bayanta.
Isra'ila da Lebanon sun sha amincewa da tsagaita wuta da Amurka ta shiga tsakani, na baya-bayan nan a ranar Juma'a, amma wadannan ba su da wani tasiri mai iyaka. Isra'ila ta dage cewa ba za ta janye daga yankin Lebanon da ta kwace ba, kuma Hezbollah ta ki amincewa da kiraye-kirayen ta bar makamanta muddin sojojin Isra'ila suna nan.
Tare da rahoton Reuters da Associated Press
Tambayoyi da Aka Yi Yawa
Ga jerin tambayoyin da aka yi yawa game da karuwar hare-hare tsakanin Amurka da Iran da ke jefa yarjejeniyar zaman lafiya ta wucin gadi cikin hadari
Tambayoyi na Matakin Farko
1 Menene yarjejeniyar zaman lafiya ta wucin gadi da kowa ke magana akai
Yarjejeniya ce ta gajeren lokaci mai yiwuwa ba ta hukuma ba inda Amurka da Iran suka amince su dakatar da hare-haren soja kai tsaye kuma su guje wa tashin hankali Ba yarjejeniya ce ta hukuma ba amma karin fahimtar juna don rage rikici
2 Me yasa Amurka da Iran suke kai wa juna hari kuma
Hare-haren na baya-bayan nan yawanci suna faruwa ne a matsayin martani ga wasu al'amura na musamman-kamar harin da aka kai wa wani abokin Amurka da ake zargin Iran ce ta yi ko kuma wata kungiyar wakilan Iran ta kai wa sojojin Amurka hari Kowane bangare yana zargin daya da karya ruhin yarjejeniyar da farko
3 Shin yakin cikakke zai fara yanzu
Ba lallai ba Dukansu bangarorin sun guje wa yakin kai tsaye na tsawon shekaru Duk da haka, wadannan hare-haren suna kara hadarin kuskure-kuskure daya ko tashin hankalin da ba a yi niyya ba zai iya haifar da rikici mafi girma
4 Wanene ke cin nasara a yanzu
Babu wani bangare da ke cin nasara a fili Amurka tana nuna karfin soja yayin da Iran ke nuna cewa tana iya kawo cikas a yankin ta hanyar wakilanta Yarjejeniyar zaman lafiya ta kasance nasara ga kwanciyar hankali kuma dukansu bangarorin suna rasa wannan kwanciyar hankali yanzu
5 Shin hakan yana shafar farashin mai
E yana iya Gabas ta Tsakiya yanki ne mai yawan samar da mai Idan rikici ya karu, kasuwanni suna tsoron katsewar wadata, wanda yakan kara farashin mai da iskar gas a duniya
Tambayoyi na Matakin Ci Gaba
6 Shin an taba amincewa da yarjejeniyar zaman lafiya ta wucin gadi a hukumance
A'a Wata fahimta ce ta rage tashin hankali da ba a fada ba, wacce yawanci kafofin yada labarai ke bayar da rahoto ta hanyar ambaton jami'ai da ba a bayyana sunansu ba Amurka ko Iran ba su sanya hannu ko sanar da ita a hukumance ba, wanda ya sa ta zama mai rauni kuma mai sauƙin karya
7 Menene takamaiman layukan ja da kowane bangare ke keta
Ga Amurka, layin ja shine Iran ta kai wa jami'an Amurka hari ko kuma manyan jigilar kayayyaki na kasuwanci Ga Iran, layin ja shine Amurka ta kashe manyan kwamandojin Iran ko kuma ta kai hari kai tsaye a kasar Iran Hare-haren na baya-bayan nan yawanci suna kai wa wakilan Iran hari maimakon Iran kanta, amma har yanzu suna ketare layi
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