ä»å¹Žã®å€§èŠæš¡ãªãšã«ããŒãã§ã¯ãååãã2幎ãçµããã«çºçãããã§ã«æ°æž©èšé²ãæŽæ°ããŠãããäœãèµ·ããŠããã®ãããããŠãªãèµ·ããŠããã®ãã説æãããããã¬ãŒãã£ã¢ã³ã¯ãšã¯ã»ã¿ãŒå€§åŠã®æ°åç§åŠè
ããããã»ã³ãªã³ãºææã«è©±ãèããã圌ã¯äžçã§æãéèŠãªæ°åå ±åæžã®ããã€ããå·çããŠããããšã«ããŒãã§åæ¹æ¯åã®ååŠã®å°éå®¶ã§ããã
å
šç»é¢ã§ç»åã衚瀺 ãããã»ã³ãªã³ãºãåçïŒæäŸ
ãšã«ããŒãã§ãšã¯äœãïŒ
ããã¯äžçã®å€§éšåã«åœ±é¿ãäžããèªç¶ã®æ°åãã¿ãŒã³ã§ããããã°ãã°é«æž©ãããå€ãã®å¹²ã°ã€ã措氎ããããããéåžžã¯å·ãã也ç¥ããŠããæ±å€ªå¹³æŽãæããæ¹¿æœ€ã«ãªããšçºçããç±åž¯å€ªå¹³æŽã®ééšãã¿ãŒã³ãå€åããããã®å°åãã¯ããã«è¶
ããŠä»ã®åœ±é¿ãåŒãèµ·ãããéåžžã¯3幎ãã7幎ããšã«çºçããããéåžžã«äºæž¬ãé£ãããååã¯2023-24幎ã ã£ãã
ãšã«ããŒãã§ã人çºçãªå°çæž©æåãšã©ã®ããã«é¢ä¿ããŠãããã説æããæè¯ã®æ¹æ³ã¯äœãïŒ
æãç°¡åãªèãæ¹ã¯ããããã¯å¥ã
ã®ãã®ã§ãããäºãã«ç©ã¿éãªããšããããšã ããããã£ãŠãå°çæž©æåã«ããå¹²ã°ã€æ¡ä»¶ããã§ã«ãããªãããšã«ããŒãã§ã¯ãããæªåããããããé£ããåé¡ã¯ãããããã©ã®ããã«çžäºäœçšãããã ãç§ãã¡ã®ã¢ãã«ã§ã¯ããããè§£æããããã«æ°çŸå¹Žã®ã·ãã¥ã¬ãŒã·ã§ã³ãå®è¡ã§ãããã芳枬èšé²ããã¯ãããååã«è¡ãã ãã®ããŒã¿ããªãããã ããäžéšã®å€æ°ååæ§ç¯ã¯ãçŸåšã®ãšã«ããŒãã§ã®é »åºŠãããªãç°åžžã§ããããšã瀺åããŠããã
ä»å¹Žã®ãšã«ããŒãã§ã¯ã©ã®ããã匷ãã®ãïŒããŽãžã©ãããã¹ãŒããŒãšã«ããŒãã§ããšåŒã¶äººãããã
ããã¯ãã§ã«èšé²ãç Žã£ãŠãããåå¹Žã§æåŒ·ã«ãªãå¯èœæ§ãããã倪平æŽã®ãšã«ããŒãã§å°åã®æµ·é¢æ°Žæž©ã¯ããã§ã«2015幎ã®ä»¥åã®æé«å€ã§ããå¹³åãã3床é«ã«éããŠãããããã¯ã»ãšãã©ä¿¡ããããªãããããŠãŸã ããŒã¯ã«éããŠããªãã®ã§ã幎æ«ãŸã§ã©ããŸã§äžãããã¯ããããªãã
ãããããã®èŠæš¡ãéå»ã®ãšã«ããŒãã§ãšæ¯èŒããã®ã¯é£ããããªããªããæ±ç±åž¯å€ªå¹³æŽã®æµ·é¢æ°Žæž©ã®åºæºå€ã¯å°çæž©æåã«ããçå®ã«äžæããŠããããã ã
ã€ãŸããäºã€ã®ããšãèµ·ããŠããââ人çºçãªæ°åå€åãšãšã«ããŒãã§ã®èªç¶å€åââãããŠããããããèšé²çãªæµ·æŽé«æž©ã«ã©ã®çšåºŠå¯äžããŠããããèšãã®ã¯å®¹æã§ã¯ãªããããããäžç·ã«ãªããšã極端ãªçŸè±¡ãããèµ·ããããããªãã
çŸåšãæ±å€ªå¹³æŽã®æ°æž©ã¯å¹³åãã4床é«ã«ãªãè»éã«ãããããã¯ãããŸã§ã«èŠããããã®ãã¯ããã«è¶
ããŠããããã®åŸåãç¶ãã°ãä¿¡ããããªããããªãšã«ããŒãã§çŸè±¡ãèŠããããããããªãã
äžçã®ã©ã®å°åãæã圱é¿ãåããã®ãïŒ
ãšã«ããŒãã§ã®ããŒã¯ååŸã«ã¯ãã€ã³ããã·ã¢ã§ããå€ãã®å±±ç«äºãã¢ããŸã³ç±åž¯éšæã§å¹²ã°ã€ãçºçããå¯èœæ§ãé«ããã€ã³ãã®ã¢ã³ã¹ãŒã³ã¯ãã§ã«ãšã«ããŒãã§ã®ããã«åŒ±ãŸã£ãŠãããæ°æž©ã¯å€ªå¹³æŽæ²¿å²žå°åããé ãè±åœã«ãŸã§é«ããªãå¯èœæ§ãé«ããæ°è±¡åŠè
ã¯ãè±åœã¯ããæ¹¿æœ€ãªå¬ãšç§ããããŠãããããã也ç¥ããå¯ãæ¥ã«ãªããšç€ºåããŠãããè±åœã®å€©æ°ã¯ããŸãã«ãå€ãããããã®ã§ãç§ã¯ããã«ã€ããŠç¢ºä¿¡ããªãã
å
šç»é¢ã§ç»åã衚瀺 ã€ã³ããã·ã¢ã西ã«ãªãã³ã¿ã³å·ãã¹ã³ã¬ã€ã»ãããªã§ã®å±±ç«äºåŸã®çŒããæšã
ãåçïŒãŠã£ãªãŒã»ã¯ã«ãã¢ã¯ã³/ãã€ã¿ãŒ
è±åœã®æè¿ã®é«æž©ãããšãŒããããã«ãããç±³åœã§ã®å±±ç«äºããšã«ããŒãã§ã«ãã£ãŠæªåããã®ãïŒ
ããã¯æããªãããªããªãããããã¯ãšã«ããŒãã§ãå§ãŸã£ãŠããã«èµ·ãããéåžžã¯é
ããããããã ããããã®æ¡ä»¶ã¯ãå°çæž©æåãšã倩åã·ã¹ãã ãé·æéå®å®ãããïŒãŸãã¯åæ»ãããïŒæç¶çãªé«æ°å§æ§åŸªç°ãã¿ãŒã³ã®çµã¿åããã®å
åã§ããå¯èœæ§ãé«ããæ°åå€åã«å ããŠããããèšé²çãªæããããèµ·ãããããããã
ããªããå«ãããã€ãã®ç§åŠè«æã¯ã人çºçãªæ°åå€åããšã«ããŒãã§ãããé »ç¹ã§æ¿ããããŠããå¯èœæ§ã瀺åããŠãããããã«ã€ããŠ100%確å®ãªæ±ºå®ç蚌æ ããŸã ãªãã®ã¯ãã©ããããªããïŒ
ãããç§åŠã ãç§ãã¡ãçºè¡šããããè«æã¯ãä¿¡å·ãæåã«ééšãã¿ãŒã³ã«çŸããã ãããšç€ºåãããã ãããæ¬¡ã®10幎ã§ããæç¢ºãªå
šäœåãåŸããããããããªããšæããéå»50幎éã§ããããäžçã§æã圱é¿åã®ããæ°åç§åŠè
ã§ãããžã§ãŒã ãºã»ãã³ã»ã³ã¯ã人çºçãªæ°åå€åãä»åã®ãšã«ããŒãã§ã®ç°åžžãªåŒ·ãã®èåŸã«ããå¯èœæ§ãé«ããšäž»åŒµããŠãããããã«ã€ããŠã©ãæããïŒããã¯ãã£ãšãããã仮説ã ãã蚌æããã®ã¯é£ããã倪平æŽã®æµ·é¢æ°Žæž©ã®äžæã¯ãããæ¿ãããšã«ããŒãã§ãä¿èšŒããã®ãïŒæ°åå€åã¯ãšã«ããŒãã§ãããæ¿ãããªãå¯èœæ§ãé«ããããããã¯ãŸã 確å®ã§ã¯ãªãããªããªãããšã«ããŒãã§ã®åœ±é¿ã¯å€§è¥¿æŽãã€ã³ãæŽãªã©ä»ã®æµ·æŽãšã®æž©åºŠå·®ã«äŸåããããã ãééšã¯æãæããæ°Žãããå Žæã«è¡ãããã®æããã忣ããŠããã°ãééšã忣ããããã®æãããäžã€ã®æµ·æŽã«éäžããŠããã°ãééšã¯ç§»åããŠãã®æµ·çã§ããæ¿ãããªãã
å
šç»é¢ã§ç»åã衚瀺 西倪平æŽããã©ãªã®éŠéœã³ããŒã«æ²ã®ãžã£ãŒãã³ã»ãã£ãã«ã®ç©ºæ®ãåçïŒãµã€ãŒãã»ã«ãŒã³/AFP/ã²ããã£ã€ã¡ãŒãžãº
ä»å¹Žã®å·šå€§ãªãšã«ããŒãã§ã¯ãäžçã®æµ·æŽãââéç§åŠçãªçšèªã䜿ãã°ââäœåãªãšãã«ã®ãŒãåžåããèœåã®éçã«éããŠããããã«ãç±ã倧æ°äžã«åãåºããŠããå
åãªã®ãããããªãïŒ
ãŸããããã¯ãšã«ããŒãã§ã®éã«èµ·ããããšã®ãããªãã®ã§ãæµ·æŽãã倧æ°ãžã®ç±ã®ç§»åã ãããããããã¯åã«ãµã€ã¯ã«ã®äžéšã«ãããªããæµ·æŽãäœããã®éçã«éããŠããã以äžä¿æã§ããªããªã£ããšããããã§ã¯ãªããäžçã«ã¯ãŸã æããããšãã§ããå·ããæ°Žããããããããšæãã®ã§ãç©ççãªéçããããã©ããã¯ããããªãã
ãšã«ããŒãã§ãå°æ¥ãã匷åã«ãªããã©ããã«ã€ããŠã®ããªãã®çŽæã¯ïŒ
圱é¿ã¯ç¢ºå®ã«å€§ãããªããšæãããç§ãã¡ã®ã¢ãã«ãä¿¡ãããªããééšã®å¿çã倧ãããªãã ãããä»åŸæ°å幎ã§ããã倧ããããã圱é¿åã®ãããšã«ããŒãã§ãèµ·ããã ããã
ã©ã®ããã«ãªã¹ã¯ãæžãããã®ãïŒ
ç¥èã圹ç«ã€ã1982-83幎ã®ãšã«ããŒãã§ã«æ»ããšã人ã
ã¯äœãèµ·ããŠããã®ãæ¬åœã«ããã£ãŠããªãã£ããåœæãç§ã®ååã®äžäººãæ±å€ªå¹³æŽã®è¹ã«ä¹ã£ãŠãã誰ããããæ°Žã®æž©åºŠãèšæž¬äžèœã ãšããã¡ãã»ãŒãžãåãåã£ãã圌ã¯ãããŸã§ãã®ãããªãã®ãèŠãããšããªãã£ããåœæã¯èª°ãçè§£ããŠããªãã£ãããããä»ã§ã¯ã6ãæãã9ãæå
ã«ãããã®ããšãèªä¿¡ãæã£ãŠäºæž¬ã§ããäºå ±ã·ã¹ãã ããããã ããæºåã§ãããã©ãã³ã¢ã¡ãªã«ã®èŸ²å®¶ã«ç°ãªãäœç©ãæ€ããããã«äŒãããããæ±åã¢ãžã¢ã®æ¿åºã«ã€ã³ãã©ãèããå±±ç«äºã«å¯Ÿããé²åŸ¡ã匷åããããèŠåã§ãããæçµçã«ã¯ãäž»ãªå¯Ÿå¿ã¯æž©å®€å¹æã¬ã¹ãåæžããããšã§ããã¹ãã ããããããå¥åŠã§çŽ æŽãããå°çå·¥åŠã®éžæè¢ãããââäŸãã°ãæ±å€ªå¹³æŽã®é²ã®ç¹æ§ãå€ããŠããšã«ããŒãã§çŸè±¡ã®èŠæš¡ãšã¿ã€ãã³ã°ã«åœ±é¿ãäžããããšã ãããè«æã¯ãããããã®é²ãäœãããšã§å€§èŠæš¡ãªçŸè±¡ãçµããããããšãã§ãããããæ±å€ªå¹³æŽã®æµ·é¢ãå·ãããšç€ºåããŠããããã®ãããªå°çå·¥åŠã¯åœ¹ç«ã€ã®ãããããšãäºæ
ãæªåãããã®ãïŒãŸã æç¢ºã§ã¯ãªãããªããªãç±ã¯æ·±æµ·ããæ¥ãããã ãã ããããã幎ã«çŸè±¡ãé²ãããšãã§ããŠããç¿å¹Žã«æ»ã£ãŠãããããããªãã
ææ
çãªã¬ãã«ã§ãå°æ¥ããã«åœ±é¿åã®ãããšã«ããŒãã§ã®èŠéãã«ã€ããŠã©ãæãããïŒ
å¿é
ã ããšã«ããŒãã§ã¯èŸ²æ¥ãšäžççµæžã«å·šå€§ãªæ··ä¹±ãåŒãèµ·ãããããã¯äººã
ã«ãšã£ãŠéåžžã«æªãããšã§ãããç¹ã«æ°åå€åã®çµæã«ãã§ã«èŠããã§ããŠããã®äžã«ãšã«ããŒãã§çŸè±¡ãèµ·ããè²§ããåœã
ã«ãšã£ãŠã¯ããã ã幞ããªããšã«ãä»ã¯è¯ãäºæž¬ãããããã®èœåãç¶æããããšãéèŠã ãäŸãã°ã倪平æŽãããªã¢ã«ã¿ã€ã ããŒã¿ãåéããããšã ãããããã°äºåã«èŠåã§ããã
ãããã質å
ãããã質å ãšã«ããŒãã§ ãããäœã äœãåå ãããªã¹ã¯ãæžãããã
åºæ¬
ãšã«ããŒãã§ãšã¯äœã
ãšã«ããŒãã§ã¯ãäžå€®ããã³æ±å€ªå¹³æŽã®è¡šå±€æ°Žãç°åžžã«æãããªãæ°åãã¿ãŒã³ã§ãã ããã¯27幎ããšã«èµ·ãããäžçäžã®å€©æ°ãå€ããããšãã§ãã
ãšã«ããŒãã§ã¯ãšã«ããŒãã§åæ¹æ¯åãšåãã
ã»ãŒ ENSOã¯å®å
šãªã·ã¹ãã ã§ãã ãšã«ããŒãã§ ã©ããŒã㣠ãããŠãã®éã®äžç«çž ãšã«ããŒãã§ã¯ç¹ã«æããçžãæã
ãšã«ããŒãã§ã¯ã©ã®ãããç¶ãã
éåžž912ãæ éåžž6æãã12æã®éã«çºéãã12æé ã«ããŒã¯ã«éããç¿æ¥ã«åŒ±ãŸã
ãšã«ããŒãã§ãèµ·ããŠããããšãã©ããã£ãŠç¥ãã®ã
ç§åŠè
ã¯å€ªå¹³æŽå
šåã®æµ·æŽæž©åºŠã颚ã倧æ°å§ã远跡ãã äž»èŠå°åã®æµ·é¢æ°Žæž©ãæ°ãæéå¹³åããå°ãªããšã05床é«ããšã©ãŸãã°ãå
¬åŒã«ãšã«ããŒãã§ã§ãã
ãšã«ããŒãã§ãšã©ããŒãã£ã®éãã¯äœã
ãããã¯å察ã§ãã ãšã«ããŒãã§ â éåžžããæãã倪平æŽã®æ°Ž ã©ããŒã㣠â éåžžããå·ãã ãããããäžçã®å€©æ°ãç°ãªãæ¹åã«å€ãã
åå ãšã¡ã«ããºã
ãšã«ããŒãã§ã®åå ã¯äœã
ããã¯ç±åž¯å€ªå¹³æŽã®å€§æ°ã®å€åããå§ãŸã éåžžã貿æé¢šã¯è¥¿ã«å¹ããã¢ãžã¢è¿ãã«æããæ°Žãèç©ãã ãããã®é¢šã匱ãŸããšãæããæ°Žãåã¢ã¡ãªã«ã«åãã£ãŠæ±ã«æ»ããããããšã«ããŒãã§ãåŒãèµ·ãã
ãªããããã貿æé¢šã匱ãŸãã®ã
ç§åŠè
ã¯åäžã®çããæã£ãŠããªã ããã¯æµ·æŽãšå€§æ°ã®èªç¶ãªåŸåŸ©ãã¿ãŒã³ã«é¢é£ããŠãããããããããé·æçãªæ°åå€åã®åœ±é¿ãåããŠãã ããã¯èªåã§æºããæ¯ãåã®ãããªãã®ã
ãšã«ããŒãã§ã¯ã©ã®ããã«äžçã®å€©æ°ãå€ããã®ã
倪平æŽåšèŸºã§å€§éã®ç±ãç§»åãããããšã«ãããéšãéãå Žæãšç©ºæ°ãäžæããå Žæãå€ãã ããã¯ãžã§ããæ°æµãéããŠæ³¢åãããã¹ãŠã®å€§éžã®å€©æ°ã«åœ±é¿ãäžãã
æ°åå€åã¯ãšã«ããŒãã§ããã匷ãããŸãã¯ããé »ç¹ã«ããã®ã
蚌æ ã¯ãŸã è°è«ãããŠãã äžéšã®ç ç©¶ã¯ãæž©æåããäžçã§ãã匷ãããæ¥µç«¯ãªãšã«ããŒãã§çŸè±¡ã瀺åããŠããããç§åŠè
ã¯ãŸã 確信ããŠããªã ããæç¢ºãªã®ã¯ããšã«ããŒãã§ã®åœ±é¿ãä»ããã§ã«ããæãããã¹ãã¬ã¹ã®å€ãç¶æ
ã®äžã«ä¹ã£ãŠããããšã