Wani bala'i. Girgizar ƙasa mai karfin 9.0. Wata gobara mai matakin faɗakarwa biyar. Wani ƙin yarda mai ɗaci ga haɗewar Jamus cikin farin ciki shekaru talatin da suka wuce, da kuma barazana ga tsarin dimokuradiyya na bayan yaƙi.
Da yake nazarin sakamakon nasarar da jam'iyyar masu tsattsauran ra'ayi ta dama, Alternative für Deutschland, ta samu a ƙarshen makon da ya gabata a tsohuwar jihar kwaminisanci ta Saxony-Anhalt, masu sharhi na Jamus sun nuna jin ƙarshe, firgici da rashin taimako a cikin tsarin siyasa.
Da kusan kashi 44% na ƙuri'un, AfD ta kasa samun rinjaye cikakke da kujeru uku. Babban ɗan takararta mai ƙwarewar yaɗa labarai, Ulrich Siegmund, yana gaggawa don samun isasshen goyon baya daga wasu jam'iyyu don tallafa wa abin da zai zama gwamnatin jiha ta farko mai tsattsauran ra'ayi tun zamanin Nazi.
Duba hoto a cikakken allo
Shugabannin AfD Alice Weidel (dama) da Tino Chrupalla (hagu) tare da ɗan takarar Saxony-Anhalt Ulrich Siegmund. Hoto: Ebrahim Noroozi/AP
Har yanzu ba a san ko zai yi nasara ba, wanda hakan ya bar rashin tabbas mai lalata a tsakiyar babbar ƙarfin tattalin arzikin Turai. A cikin ma'auni akwai makomar gwamnatin Friedrich Merz ta tsakiya-dama, wadda aka taɓa kiranta "harbin ƙarshe na dimokuradiyya" don hana masu tsattsauran ra'ayi kwace mulki a Jamus.
'Yana karya zuciyata': babbar nasarar zaɓe ta masu tsattsauran ra'ayi ta dama ta haifar da baƙin ciki a babban birnin jihar Jamus
Ƙara karantawa
Sakamakon a Saxony-Anhalt ya jefa shugaban gwamnatin masu ra'ayin mazan jiya cikin mawuyacin hali, tare da sa ran ƙarin hukunci ga jam'iyyarsa ta Christian Democratic Union (CDU) a wasu zaɓukan jihohi biyu a ƙarshen wannan watan.
"Wannan ita ce mafi munin shan kaye ga CDU cikin shekaru - shekaru da dama - kuma wani abu ya canza, ba kawai a Saxony-Anhalt ba amma a duk Jamus," in ji shi ranar Litinin.
Ko zai tsira a siyasance har zuwa babban zaɓe na gaba, wanda ake sa ran a 2029, zai sami sakamako mai ban mamaki ga Jamus da ƙawayenta na Turai da ke ƙoƙarin tunkude ƙarfin adawa da dimokuradiyya. Zaɓuka masu muhimmanci za a yi shekara mai zuwa a ƙasashe da suka haɗa da Faransa, Spain, Italiya da Poland.
Yawancin masu sukar Merz sun ce ɗan shekara 70 tsohon shugaban zartarwa na BlackRock ba shi ne mutumin da ya dace ba a irin wannan mahadar mai muhimmanci, suna kiransa shugaba mara ƙwarewa kuma mara tausayi wanda ba shi da daidaito a saƙonsa.
Tun yana kan mulki watanni 16 kacal, shugaban gwamnatin sau da yawa yakan nuna ba zai iya yin ɗaya daga cikin muhimman ayyukan jagoranci: shaida wa masu zaɓe cewa yarda da magunguna masu ɗaci yanzu zai iya kaiwa ga makoma mai haske, in ji masanin siyasa Thomas Biebricher na Jami'ar Goethe ta Frankfurt.
Duba hoto a cikakken allo
Friedrich Merz: makomarsa a matsayin shugaban gwamnati ba ta da tabbas. Hoto: Anadolu/Getty Images
"Babban ra'ayin da ake da shi a halin yanzu shi ne cewa, ta fuskar sadarwa, ba ya iya bayyana sauye-sauye da yawa - da sadaukarwar da suka haɗa - ga jama'a, don haka ya sami karɓuwarsu," in ji Biebricher, yana magana kan shirye-shiryen rage fansho na doka da tsare-tsaren kiwon lafiya.
Tsohuwar shugabar gwamnati Angela Merkel, wadda ta daɗe tana hamayya da Merz a cikin CDU, ta soki shi a bainar jama'a saboda kakkausan kalamansa kan ƙaura da haɗewa amma ta ce ba ta jin daɗin wannan ɓarnar saboda girman abin da ke cikin ma'auni.
"Wannan wani juyi ne - ainihin juyi - a tarihin tarayyar Jamus," in ji Merkel, wadda ta bar mulki da son ranta a 2021 bayan shekaru 16 tana mulki. "A matsayina na memba na CDU yana karya zuciyata."
Duba hoto a cikakken allo
Merz yana magana da Angela Merkel a taron tarayya na CDU a Stuttgart a watan Fabrairu. Hoto: Getty Images
Da yake magana a wani taron harkokin dijital ranar Talata, ta shawarci Merz ya sake tunani kan saƙonsa a cikin yanayin siyasa da ke canzawa inda motsin rai ya fi gaskiya muhimmanci.
Merkel, mai shekara 72, ta lura cewa CDU ta nuna bayanai a lokacin yaƙin neman zaɓe na Saxony-Anhalt da ke nuna cewa rashin aikin yi ya ragu kuma dukiyar gida ta ƙaru a cikin ƙaramin jihar da ba ta da arziki sosai. "Sannan [Siegmund] ya ce: 'Hakan na iya zama haka, amma ba haka ake ji ba.'"
An kafa AfD a 2013, a lokacin mulkin Merkel, a matsayin ƙungiya mai adawa da Tarayyar Turai da ke adawa da tallafin kuɗi ga ƙasashe masu cike da bashi. Ta zama mai tsattsauran ra'ayi a lokacin rikicin 'yan gudun hijira na 2015-2016, lokacin da ta bar iyakoki a buɗe ga fiye da miliyan ɗaya masu neman mafaka da ke guje wa yaƙi da wahala.
Merz ya hau mulki a shekarar da ta gabata, yana alkawarin dawo da ƙasar kan hanya bayan gwamnatin da ta gabata a ƙarƙashin Olaf Scholz ta rushe. Ya yi alkawarin dawo da haɓakar tattalin arziki, sake gina ƙarfin tsaro, da gaggauta gyara tsarin jin daɗin jama'a da ke fama.
Shirinsa na tunkarar masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama - ɗaya daga cikin manyan alkawuransa - shi ne yin mulki cikin ƙwarewa da warware matsalolin Jamusawa mafi muhimmanci.
Merz ya kuma yi alkawarin ƙin manufar Merkel ta buɗe iyakoki, yana fatan cire batun da ya fi shahara na AfD. Ya shahara da karɓar goyon baya daga jam'iyyar masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama don wani kudiri mai tsauri kan ƙaura kafin babban zaɓe na Fabrairu 2025, sannan ya ja da baya bayan zanga-zangar.
Duba hoto a cikakken alloAlice Weidel, mataimakiyar shugabar AfD, tana wucewa kusa da Merz a Bundestag a wannan makon. Hoto: John MacDougall/AFP/Getty Images
Yayin da masu shigowa "ba bisa ƙa'ida ba" suka ragu sosai tun lokacin da Merz ya hau mulki, AfD ta yi nasarar komawa ga batutuwa da yawa - lalacewar masana'antu, asalin yanki, araha, da laifuka - don samun goyon baya fiye da yankin gabas da ta fi ƙarfi.
AfD, wadda ake ganin ta fi irin jam'iyyun Turai makamancin haka tsattsauran ra'ayi, an riƙe ta a matsayin adawa ta dindindin a Jamus ta hanyar dabarun "bangon wuta" na manyan jam'iyyu na ƙin yin aiki da ita. Amma yanzu ana ganin wannan manufar ta gaza, tana barin AfD ta riƙa suka daga gefe yayin da duk wani canji mai kyau ke jinkiri.
tsallake tallan wasiƙar labaraiYi rajista ga Headlines EuropeWasiƙar labarai kyauta
Takaitaccen manyan kanun labarai na safe daga bugu na Turai ana aikawa kai tsaye gare ku kowace ranar aiki
Shigar da imel ɗinka Yi rajistaBayan tallan wasiƙar labarai
Biebricher ya ce duk da duk raunin Merz, maye gurbinsa ba zai zama maganin sihiri ga tsaunin ƙalubale da ke fuskantar tsaron Jamus da wadata ba.
Duba hoto a cikakken alloWani masani na bincike yana aiki kusa da wani jirgin sama na Ukraine a filin jirgin saman Leipzig, inda aka sami wani jirgi mara matuki mai ɗauke da na'urar fashewa a watan da ya gabata. Hoto: Hendrik Schmidt/DPA/AP
Baya ga barazanar daga Rasha, ya yi nuni ga lalacewar ababen more rayuwa, matsin al'umma kan jin daɗin jama'a, gasa daga China a masana'antun da suka taɓa ƙarfi kamar kera motoci, da rikice-rikicen geopolitical da ke damun hanyoyin samar da kayayyaki da shigo da makamashi.
"Babu ɗaya daga cikin waɗannan da zai ɓace kawai a lokacin da ka sami wanda ya fi kyau sadarwa," Biebricher ya gaya wa rediyon jama'a.
Duba hoto a cikakken alloMa'aikatan Volkswagen yayin wani taro na adawa da shirye-shiryen rage ayyuka da yawa a Zwickau a watan Yuli. Hoto: Jens Schluter/AFP/Getty Images
Ƙungiyar CDU-CSU ta Merz ta tsakiya-dama, wadda ta rabu tsakanin masu ra'ayin mazan jiya da masu matsakaici, duk da haka an san ta da kasancewa cikin ladabi a lokutan rikici - ko da kuwa saboda tsoron sakamako mafi muni daga manyan canje-canje.
Ana ganin yanayin da ya yi muni sosai har ya haifar da gurgunta, inda babban gwamnan jihar North Rhine-Westphalia mai farin jini, Hendrik Wüst, ko shugaban Bavaria mai buri, Markus Söder, ba su da sha'awar ɗaukar wannan ƙoƙon guba a wannan matakin.
"Merz yanzu ya kai matakin da rikicin - wanda shi da kansa ke ƙara tsananta - ke ƙarfafa shi," in ji tsohon ɗan jaridar siyasa Bernd Ulrich na jaridar Die Zeit.
"CDU da gwamnati (a haɗin gwiwa da Social Democrats) gaba ɗaya suna cikin mummunan hali da, kamar yadda kowa zai iya faɗa, babu wanda ke son ɗaukar mukaminsa."
Wüst, mai shekara 51, yana jagorantar haɗin gwiwa da Greens a jihar da ta fi yawan jama'a a Jamus kuma yana fuskantar yaƙin sake zaɓe a watan Afrilu mai zuwa. Idan ya yi nasara, kiraye-kirayen Merz ya sauka a madadinsa na iya ƙaruwa.
Söder, wanda ke wakiltar reshen masu ra'ayin mazan jiya na ƙungiyar, yana da ra'ayin Merz cewa tana buƙatar maimaita kakkausan kalaman AfD kan ƙaura don dawo da goyon baya - dabarar da masana kimiyyar siyasa suka daɗe suna watsi da ita a matsayin mara amfani.Mai amfani. 1:24 'Ya kamata mu koyi da yawa daga tarihi': Jamusawa suna mayar da martani ga nasarar AfD - bidiyo. Duk da haka haɗarin hana tawaye ta hanyar yin fare kan yanayin da masu zaɓe suka ƙi a fili yana bayyana. Da yawa zai dogara da yadda labari mara kyau daga zaɓukan yanki a Berlin da Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania ranar 20 ga Satumba zai kasance. AfD tana da kyakkyawan matsayi a duk jihohin biyu, tare da ƙarfin gwiwa bayan Saxony-Anhalt, wanda ke matsa wa CDU musamman. A lokacin wata zazzafar arangama da AfD a majalisa a wannan makon, inda ya bayyana barazanar da take yi ga dimokuradiyyar Jamus, Merz ya yi tunani kan yadda za a jagoranci ƙasar - da kansa - daga cikin matsalolin da ake ciki. Ya faɗi daga wata wasiƙa da ya samu daga shugaban wata jami'ar tauhidi, wanda ya yi jayayya cewa da yawa dama har yanzu suna gaban Jamus kuma ya shawarce shi da kada ya ba da kai ga yanke ƙauna. Merz ya ce ya yi niyyar ɗaukar wannan a zuciya kuma ya ci gaba da zama shugaban gwamnati ta amfani da sabuwar taswira: "Yarda da kurakurai, gafarta, tashi kan ƙafafunka, tsara makoma."
Tambayoyin da ake yawan yi
Ga jerin tambayoyin da ake yawan yi dangane da batun keta bangon wuta game da Friedrich Merz da labarin damar ƙarshe ga dimokuradiyya
Tambayoyin Farko
Q Menene keta bangon wuta ke nufi a siyasar Jamus
A Yana nufin Brandmauer Wannan ita ce yarjejeniya ta yau da kullum tsakanin manyan jam'iyyun Jamus na kada su taɓa yin haɗin gwiwa ko kafa ƙawance da jam'iyyar masu tsattsauran ra'ayi ta dama Alternative for Germany Ketawa yana nufin wata babbar jam'iyya ta karɓi ƙuri'u daga AfD don zartar da doka
Q Wanene Friedrich Merz
A Shi ne shugaban Christian Democratic Union babbar jam'iyyar tsakiya-dama ta Jamus Shi ma ɗan takarar shugaban gwamnati ne mai ra'ayin mazan jiya a babban zaɓen tarayya na 2025
Q Menene ainihin abin da Merz ya yi
A A ƙarshen Janairu 2025 Merz ya gabatar da wani kudiri mara tilastawa a majalisa don tsaurara ka'idojin ƙaura Ya dogara da gangan kan ƙuri'u daga AfD don zartar da shi yana karya haramcin da aka daɗe ana yi na amfani da ƙuri'un masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama don yin nasara
Q Me ya sa ake kiran wannan damar ƙarshe ta dimokuradiyya
A Masu suka suna amfani da wannan jimlar don gargaɗi cewa idan manyan jam'iyyu suka saba da yin aiki da masu tsattsauran ra'ayi na dama hakan na iya lalata ka'idojin dimokuradiyya kuma a ƙarshe ya kai ga AfD samun iko na gaske kamar abin da ya faru a Jamhuriyar Weimar
Q Shin Merz ya lalata dimokuradiyya da gaske
A A'a Dimokuradiyya a Jamus tana aiki har yanzu Jimlar gargaɗi ce game da haɗarin koma baya na dimokuradiyya ba bayanin gaskiya ba
Tambayoyin Matsakaici
Q Me ya sa Merz ya karya bangon wuta
A Ya yi jayayya cewa bayan wani mummunan harin wuƙa da wani ɗan ƙaura ya yi a Aschaffenburg yanayin ya yi gaggawa sosai don jira Ya ce ba zai bar AfD ta tsara ajandarsa ba amma yana buƙatar ƙuri'unsu don zartar da kudirin ƙaura
Q Menene martani ga matakin Merz
A Ya haifar da mummunar adawa Tsohuwar shugabar gwamnati Angela Merkel ta soki shi a bainar jama'a Dubban mutane sun yi zanga-zanga a duk Jamus SPD da Greens sun zarge shi da karya alkawarinsa domin ya yi alkawarin kafin zaɓe cewa ba zai zartar da komai da ƙuri'un AfD ba
Q Shin kudirin ya zama doka da gaske
